Digital library (interview) RAI Educational

Paul Baan

Cannes, ITExpo, 3 November 1997

"The Baan Group"

SUMMARY:

  • To be successful in the middle-range market you have to bring the right value in terms of services. Companies in this market is interested in a long-term solution: the hardware and the software, including all the services (1).
  • Baan is number two in the high end of the market and in Europe it is number one in the middle-range market (2).
  • 70 percent of all the Fortune 500 companies are located in the United States, a huge high-end market. Europe is dominated by middle-range companies, especially in Italy, and they tend to be the companies that are making money (3).
  • Small and middle-sized companies are rapidly changing their culture in order to use information technology. Even smaller companies are becoming global. They are also forced by the bigger companies to invest in new technologies. They have to act local but think global (4).
  • Companies in the United States are ahead with the Internet and other new technologies. Europeans tend to be wary of adopting anything new, but when they do it, they do it right (5).
  • The cost of telecommunications and the language problem have discouraged take up of the Internet in Europe. On the other hand, if you have shown that you can do it in Europe, it is much easier to break into the Asia-Pacific market (6).
  • You cannot compete if you think that you can do everything yourself. On the one hand you have to grow very quickly; on the other you have to innovate continuously. The only way to do both is by working with others (7).
  • Baan works in partnership with Microsoft as well as its competitors (8).
  • Microsoft dominates the desktop market but not the applications market (9).
  • The Internet will reshuffle the competitive landscape in the supply chain (10).
  • Any new technology takes time to reach a critical mass and take off. Within a few years business-to-business e-commerce will be an essential tool (11).
  • The technical problems of the Internet - bandwidth, etc. -are issues which could be solved in a couple of months (12).

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INTERVIEW:

Question 1
The Baan Group is focused on software for small and medium-sized enterprises. How can these businesses be competitive and how can you help them?

Answer
We were very successful in the high end of the market and now we would like to bring the good news to the small and medium-sized enterprises. But itís very important that you bring the right value proposition.

In the high end of the market they have almost unlimited budgets, a lot of resources, their own EDP departments. But in the middle-range market you have to be much more competitive to make sure you are a really strong player. We know we have to bring the right value in terms of services, for in the middle-range market we sell a solution, not only IT, not only software. The company in the middle-range market is interested in only one thing: a life solution, the hardware and the software, including all the services. In Baan we developed what we call the DEM approach: dynamic enterprise modelling. It is branch models in services. If you look at the high-end, itís a ratio of 1:5, one dollar of software and five of services. In the middle-range market, you have to do it another way. We now have a ratio of 1:1, one dollar software and one dollar services. Itís because weíve developed what we call the "desk port". We halve the complexity. Customers in the middle-range market are not interested in a lot of complexity. If you look at an ERP (enterprise resource planning) solution, it is a very comprehensive solution with a lot of flexibility and usually that creates a lot of complexity. What we did with DEM and the branch models was halve the complexity, and itís a real success story. So we feel very strong not only in the high end of the market but also in the middle-range market. World-wide there are approximately 4,000 players in the middle-range market today. But weíre expecting a big shake-out, because the middle-range market is normally local, small system houses working for local companies. But local companies are also part of the global growth and they want a global solution, a very smart solution. So we expect a big shake-out and we want to make sure the Baan is number one in the market. So we go for leadership in that market and therefore we develop what we call the triple breakthrough strategy, not only a breakthrough in terms of the products. Microsoft is easy to use and cheap, so our product is 100 percent embedded in the Microsoft world. Then, with DEM we were able to kill the complexity, so there was also a clear differentiation in the market over the competition. Last but not least, we started BBS (Baan Business Systems) as a sales arm, a channel, within the Baan Group but with our own name. Generally, the high-end software providers like Peopleís Software and Oracle go to the middle-range market via indirect channels but not with their own name. We see that as discrimination. If you really want to be number one in the middle-range market, you have to go with your own name and with your own money and put your money where you promise that you are number one. So itís also the Baan name on top of the building.

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Question 2
But whatís your market share in the general software market now?

Answer
We are number two in the high end of the market and in Europe we are already number one in the middle-range market. This year the budget for BBS in Europe is approximately US$100 million revenue; if you compare that with other companies like Symex, for example, in the United States, we are already twice the size of Symex. We are very dominant in the middle-range market in Europe with the BBS concept. Itís like a gold mine. In the last couple of years the EMP market was especially in the high end of the market. Now youíll see that EMP market will penetrate the middle-range market very fast, and in that market Baan is ahead of the competition and that market is growing very fast - by at least 50-60 percent a year.

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Question 3
23 percent of small and medium-sized enterprises now operate internationally. Your forecast is that by the year 2001 it will be over 50 percent. But where are these small and medium-sized enterprises?

Answer
A few countries have real middle-range companies like Italy, Turkey, Spain, the Netherlands. If you compare the industry in the United States with Europe, in the United States we have really big heroes: 70 percent of all the Fortune 500 companies are located in the United States, a huge high-end market. But Europe is much more dominated by middle-range companies. You see them in Germany as well, but especially in Italy. There are only a couple of really big companies like FIAT, but the majority of the industry - especially the industry that is making money - is the middle-range market. The middle-range market in Italy, for example, is a very attractive market for us.

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Question 4
And do you think that in Italy these small and middle-sized companies are changing their culture fast in order to use information technology better?

Answer
They have to in order to be competitive. They are also forced to by the big companies. For example, if you are a T2 or a T3 supplier of the automotive industry to FIAT, then FIAT will force you to be more competitive, and you have to invest in these kinds of solutions. On the other hand we see also that small companies and middle-range companies are more and more going international. Last week when I was in Italy I met a couple of our customers. We already have a subsidiary in Germany, in Spain, in the Netherlands, etc., so itís a misunderstanding that middle-range companies are only local. More and more we see that the middle-range companies are going international, for they are a part of the global village. So on the one hand they go more global, on the other they are also forced by the big companies to invest in this type of products. And it brings them more competitive edge and also a return on investment. So itís a triple win.

The best solution is act local think global, for itís all about the local community: you always have to serve the local people, but you have to think global. If you are only acting local, then you are missing the boat. If you are acting global and thinking local, I think itís the wrong perception.

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Question 5
And in your opinion, is the gap between the United States and Europe in the use of the Internet and the development of web-based enterprises still wide?

Answer
In the United States they are ahead with the Internet, etc. But it's also probable that in the United States they like a lot of entertainment. Not all the Internet stuff brings real value for the business, but, you know, the Americans like to jump on new waves. On the other hand, I really believe that the Internet is bringing a lot of good news to companies. For example, if you look at the supply chain, you have to communicate between companies, and the Internet is a very cheap public network to communicate between local companies. So we are very focused on using the power of the Internet in order to improve the competitive edge of our solutions. To be honest, we see more Internet stuff in the United States today than in Europe, but I think the Europeans are always a bit shy. But if they do it, they do it right. So we will definitely team up also with the Americans.

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Question 6
What are the main obstacles for a more wide-spread use of the Internet?

Answer
A telephone call was always cheaper in the United States than in Europe. So the cost of communication was more attractive in the United States. Second, it's about language. It is much easier to communicate in the same language with the huge market in the United States than in Europe which is multilingual and where every country has its own specific ideas. So it's a little more difficult to become popular in Europe than in the United States. On the other hand, if you have shown that you can do it in Europe, it's much easier to transfer it into the Asia-Pacific than from the United States, because the Asia-Pacific is really multicultural. So I think Europe is in a good position. There are software companies that are successful in the United States but 80 percent of their revenue is coming from the United States, and they are not so successful in Europe and they are really not successful in the Asia-Pacific. A couple of European companies like SAP, as well as Baan, went after their success in the United States and were also very successful in the Asia-Pacific.

I think in software Europe is a good place, for if you are successful in Europe with software, you really can export it to the United States. Europe is a critical point: if you have proven that you are successful in Europe, then you can go global. For example, Oracle is a very dominant player in the United States, not only with their database technology but also with their application technology. But they have struggled to be successful in Europe. We don't see them often in Italy and Germany. And we don't see them so often in countries like the Philippines, Singapore, or Japan. They are successful in the English-speaking countries, but there are a lot of non-English-speaking countries all over the world.

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Question 7
What are your alliances?

Answer
We really believe that you are not able to win this competition if you think that you can do everything yourself. Like IBM in the past: IBM was very successful and thought they could do everything alone. On the one hand you have to grow very fast, on the other you have to innovate very fast. It looks like a paradox. That's like driving on the Italian highway at 200 kph -that's allowed, though not officially, and people drive very, very fast here - while at the same time changing your engine. That's not easy. In the software business we have to do that. On the one hand, we have to grow at least eight or nine percent a year in order to gain market share, on the other hand we have to move to the Internet, to object-oriented technology, to the SME. The only way to do that is by having a lot of business friends around you. Our strategy is not only to build a big company but to build an industry, a Baan Web. For example, last year the revenue of the Baan Company was US$400 million, but the revenue of our British Baan was US$800 million, so that's a ratio of 1:2; the Baan Company earned US$400 million and the total revenue of the Baan Web was US$1.2 billion, so a ratio of 1:3. Around the year 2000 we think the revenue of the Baan Company should be US$2 billion, but the revenue of all our partners should be US$8 billion, so that means a ration of 1:5, so we'll have to bring more business to our partners. We team up with global companies in the Hague, of course with HP, and companies like Sun, like IBM; we team up with database vendors like Oracle, Informix, Symex, and we also team up with service providers. Sometimes they are global players. But it's not a problem to have local partners as well.

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Question 8
And do you also work with Microsoft?

Answer
Yes, we like to work with them in a partnership. We are not their slaves. Microsoft is so dominant and they have a lot of slaves, but we like to be a co-marketer of Microsoft. That means co-operating with Microsoft at one end but we are also friends with Sun at the other end. Sun and Microsoft are real competitors. But we like to show the market that we are open, so we work with both. Especially in the middle-range market it's a big help to work with Microsoft, for they have real dominance in the desktop but they also have the NT operating system and they already have the single server as a database. Although the database today is not so powerful, our expectation is that in a couple of months the performance of the single server will team up with the performance of Informix, etc. They bring much more value for money to the market and also more user friendliness to the market.

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Question 9
You are not worried about the monopolistic attitude of Bill Gates?

Answer
No. In the desktop market they are probably dictators. If you look at the Windows platform, then they are really the dictators in the desktop. But the applications market is a different story. We have SEP, we have Baan and we have a couple of other players and they are really competitive against each other. I do not expect that Microsoft can take over our market. It's too complicated for them. Microsoft goes after the mass market, the easy stuff. You can sell a database to everybody, but implementing an EMP system has a lot of rules; for an EMP every customer is different, so although we have one product, we have to implement that in a unique, customer-specific way. That's not attractive enough for Microsoft. Microsoft goes for high volumes. They go for the products. So we think it's not easy for Microsoft to take over, but on the other hand they have a lot of good products and with the combination of Microsoft and Baan, we have a much better value proposition for the low end, so Microsoft helps us to develop the SME market.

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Question 10
Can you describe how information technology has changed the manufacturing process and how small and medium-sized enterprises can benefit from this change?

Answer
In the last couple of years companies have moved to a customer-oriented model. In the past companies made products and were product-oriented. Today, the only way to survive and to be competitive is to have a customer-oriented approach. That means you need what we call an end-to-end package, a basic solution, which supports an end-to-end business process from sales and marketing till services. This means there is a huge need for EMP. But in the coming couple of years we'll see companies working together in the supply chain. A couple of companies are clustering together in the supply chain to help the end users. The Internet will play a tremendous role there. If you look, for example, at the automotive industry, we have developed a package whereby an end user or customer can configure cars via the Internet. Normally, you go to a dealer and you buy a car. But with the help of the Internet, you can configure your own car and order it via the Internet. The technology is there. That means there is a repositioning in the supplier chain, for you can bypass the dealer network. So the Internet will reshuffle the competitive landscape in the supply chain. I think that the smart companies will understand that in the future they're looking for the added value in the supply chain and they need the material we provide.

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Question 11
And what are your forecasts for the development of electronic commerce in Europe? How long will it take?

Answer
It's like the fax. It takes a while before you have the critical mass and then suddenly it takes off. We saw the same with e-mail. E-mail has been on the market for many years. But then suddenly everyone was putting their e-mail address on their business cards. It is a window. We are investing a lot of money in business-to-business e-commerce applications because we really believe that in a couple of years we will see a breakthrough in the market. The Internet is already there; it creates a lot of competitive edge for the market. When the snowball starts rolling, it will be a big snowball. Within a couple of years everyone will be working with business-to-business e-commerce, otherwise you'll be like an illiterate and you'll be out of business. Just as you need a telephone and a computer, you now need the Internet - it's a fact of life.

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Question 12
In that case, the change for the consumer will be fast. Usually adoption on the mass market takes about ten years, as with the VCR and fax, for example.

Answer
The performance of the Internet and the bandwidth, etc. are technical issues which could be solved in a couple of months. Cisco, the Internet providers and the PTTs are investing a lot of money in solving the technical problems. That means all the conditions are there. We've seen also that if we implement functionality in a firm way, we are really creating a lot of edge over the competition. My expectation is that within five years everyone will be using business-to-business e-commerce like we use the tape recorder today.

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