Digital library (interview) RAI Educational

William Crossman 

Chicago, 20/07/1998

"A computer for anyone who can talk"

SUMMARY:

  • We are on the brink of a major step forward in computing: VIVO (Voice In/Voice Out) computers, where all information is transferred, stored and retrieved by speaking, listening and looking at visual displays. Written language was created thousands of years ago to deal with a specific set of historical conditions, and it is now obsolete (1).
  • New technologies replaces old technologies and make them redundant. We are going to be able to store and retrieve information more cheaply, more universally, efficiently, quickly, and easily using talking computers with visual displays. 80% of the world's population is functionally non-literate. Now we are opening up the world storehouse of knowledge to anybody who can speak (2).
  • The use of reading and writing are growing at the moment: even people who didn't write letters are now writing e-mail messages, but this is a temporary situation. Throughout this century a succession of devices have been usurping the function of written language by replacing it with speech-driven and/or visual devices: the phonogram, the telegraph, the radio, TV and video, the computer, film, photography. This is because human culture is naturally oral, not written (3).
  • All written notational systems are going to disappear. New systems will be invented to replace written numerals etc. (4).
  • VIVOs will be able to store and retrieve huge amounts of by speaking and by listening. Historical memory will be enhanced by the fact that everyone will be able to use their native language to access the information. Nobody will need to learn a foreign language to retrieve that whole body of historical memory and to communicate with anyone on the face of the earth (5).
  • The arts will change as we move from a written to an oral culture. Politics, especially international politics, the relation between the dominant and the oppressed nations, is going to be greatly altered by the fact that one of the main cultural tools of cultural and colonial domination, written language, is going to disappear (6).
  • The problem of getting access to computers to people in the developing nations will remain. This as a key human rights issue of the 21st century, because access to information is a human right (7).
  • Written language will disappear because of its lack of universality and the huge resources it takes to teach. Our-great-grandchildren will not know how to read or write, unless as a hobby (8).
  • The university computer think tanks and business are putting a huge amount of their resources into the development of talking computers (9).

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INTERVIEW:

Question 1
You have written a book entitled CompSpeak 2050: How Talking Computers will Recreate an Oral Culture by Mid-21st Century. Why will talking computers, in your opinion, lead us to an oral culture?

Answer
First of all, we are on the brink of a major step forward in computing, with the use of voice-recognition, talking computers. I call them VIVOs, for Voice In/Voice Out computers. We are talking about computers that don't use any text and have no keyboard: all information is transferred, stored and retrieved by speaking, listening and looking at visual displays. There is a huge need for a breakthrough in literacy in the print-literate countries which also tend to be the electronically developed countries. If you look at the declining literacy rates here in the United States, if you look at why so many people would rather watch TV than read a book, would make a phone call before they would sit down and write a letter, you understand that reading and writing is in big trouble in this country. I think that there are two engines driving a move away from print culture to oral culture in the electronically developed print-literate countries: the first is technological, and the second is evolutionary. I want to talk about each one of those separately. If we look at the technology, for example, we see that written language itself is a technology; a technology that was created six thousand to ten thousand years ago to deal with a specific set of historical conditions, particularly the move from a nomadic society to an agricultural and herding society. With that change came an enormous need for the ability to store new information. At that moment in history a creative solution was found by people who were settling land, becoming planters and herds people. That solution was the creation of written language, a technology which was devised to store and retrieve the new wave of information. Now we have new technology that can supersede that. Reading and writing is now obsolete; alphabets, spelling, grammar rules, even written numerals - because I am talking about oral written notational systems - are going to disappear. They are going to be quickly replaced by a technology that is more efficient, more universal, cheaper, quicker and easier. That technology is a technology that is not a technology at all: it's our ability to speak, which is as basic to human existence as our circulatory systems.

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Question 2
Don't you think that the tendency to believe that new technology will "abolish" the old ones has already proved to be wrong, if we look back in time? Don't you think that multimedia is precisely the co-existence of different media and, of course, of new and "old" ways to communicate?

Answer
No, actually I think that computer technologies and the multimedia are perfect examples of how new technology displaces and renders obsolete the old technology. The wax cylinder phonogram was replaced by vinyl records, then cassette tapes, now we have CDs and everybody is throwing away their old technology. In fact, in the media this is more apparent than in almost any other set of technologies. We had the scythe to cut a grass, but we threw that away because we had a push lawnmower, and now people in the United States are throwing away their lawnmower and getting gas-powered lawnmowers. One by one the new technology replaces the old, makes it redundant. We take the technology that is the easiest, most efficient, most up to date, and we use it. As far as talking computers go, my argument is that we are going to be able to store and retrieve information more cheaply, more universally, more efficiently, quickly, easily, using talking computers with visual displays. When we use written language, we write something down to store it and then we read it to retrieve that information. This technology was created to deal with a specific set of historical conditions and is a transitory technology. We tend to think of written language as like air and water, and sleep and food as a basic need, and every society aspires to become a literate society. But it was just an older technology, and like any technology, it gets surpassed by new technology which makes it obsolete. That is the technological reason why we are moving toward an oral culture. Talking computers, VIVOs, Voice In/Voice Out computers with no text, where we speak and listen and look at visual displays, can do exactly same work as reading and writing can do, and everyone will be able to do it. Right now, 80% of the world's population is non-literate, or functionally non-literate. 4.5 billion people could not use our standard keyboard driven, text-driven computers even if they had access to it. But if you had a speech-driven computer, anybody who doesn't have a speech disability, is going to be able to use that computer to store and retrieve information. That's a tremendous potential opportunity: we are opening up the world storehouse of knowledge to anybody who can speak.

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Question 3
Your claims might be said to be paradoxical, because one could claim that there is more writing happening than ever before-more e-mail messages, books, magazines, etc.? Isn't this a rise in written language, rather than the decline that you say is happening in the shortest time?

Answer
One of the arguments that is used against my viewpoint is that reading is escalating in the population: even people who didn't write letters are now writing e-mail messages. There are more books being published, there are more magazines and journals and newspapers, and more people are learning how to read around the world, more literacy campaigns in developing nations. Print literacy is on the rise, how can I possibly say that literacy is dying in the electronically developed countries? Well, yes, there is a little blip that appears to be a bit of a rise, due to e-mail and of course the glut of publishing and so on that is going on. But we really have to look at the big picture. We have to look at the fact that the U.S. department of education did a study from 1973 to 1993 on reading and writing abilities of a huge selection of third graders, seventh graders, and tenth graders in U.S. schools. This was at a time when there were more schools with highly educated teachers, where we were teaching reading and writing better. But year after year during those twenty years from 1973 to 1993 the literacy rate in the U.S. went down. And it is not just in the U.S., but it's happening in the other print-literate countries as well, in Europe, in Japan and so on. Why is this happening? The reasons that people have given are, the schools are bad, the students are lazy, there is too much TV. I say no. I do not think students are lazy: they are desperate to learn; they may not want to learn what their teacher wants to teach them, but they are desperate to learn. It's a deeper problem, a problem that's harder to see, and I think it has to do with the evolution of technology and I think it has to do with the evolution of human beings. For the last one hundred and twenty five years, the electronically developed print-literate countries have been raging a furious attack on written language. They are replacing the essential of function of written language with speech-driven devices. Written language is not just written language. Written language is a technology whose essential function is to store information by writing it down and retrieve that information by reading it. We freeze information on paper, or in text on a computer screen, or on rock, and then we fold it out when we want to by reading it. That's the essential function of written language. For the last hundred and twenty five years, ever since Edison invented the wax cylinder phonogram - not even an electric or electronic device - we have had a stream of electronic and electric and non-electric devices that have been usurping the function of written language, by replacing it with speech-driven and/or visual devices. For example, the phonogram, the telegraph, the radio, TV and video, the computer, and film, photography. All of these functions of the magazine, the newspaper, the letter, the book, are being replaced, one by one, by non-print technology. Why is this happening at this point of history? Why in the last half of the nineteenth century did society in the print literate electronic developed countries feel the need to do this? I don't think that it was by chance. I think there was something about human evolution that had reached a point where humans felt that written language had reached its limits as a technology that could efficiently and effectively and universally store and retrieve information, and we started to move beyond that by creating all these technological devices that are speech-driven, and in terms of evolutionary biology, evolutionary psychology, even evolutionary medicine. I think that it was because as a language speaking beings - which is part of our essence as human beings - we are hardwired to speak a language, it is inborn in us, not to speak any particular language, but to speak. Even children who have speech disabilities start creating their own sign language. Our basic speech need is part of our humanity. I think that in the print literate countries, we have got too far away from our basic orality. There are deficiencies that we get from not walking, calcium builds up on our feet. There is also speech deficiency, which I think is predominant in print literate societies. In evolutionary terms, one of the things beside a more efficient and universal technology available to us in the form of talking computers is the fact that the human race feels the need to move beyond the limits of written language so that we can return to an xoral culture. The print literate culture is not a natural culture; young kids just start speaking, but they don't just start writing. We have to train children to read and write.

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Question 4
You say we are going to lose all written notational systems-including written numerals. Why? How would this affect scientific research?

Answer
Yes, I have been told that my view that all written notational systems are going to disappear, including written numerals, is going to have a profound effect on the sciences and so on. How are they going to move forward, how are we going to keep our scientific method. Well, first of all, when I say that we are going to lose written notational systems, we are not going to lose information: it's going to be stored in computers, and we are going to be able to access it, it's just that we are not going to be able to store it in the form of written alphabets, pictographs, numerals, music notation notes, or all the other notational systems. Now, there will be an adjustment will be required for the replacement of all of these notational systems, including written numerals, but we'll manage. One major adjustment we will make will be to use spoken numbers, or some other visual aids that are more efficient than our current numeral system. We think Roman numerals are, unreal, but our Arabic numerals are also very unreal, and one can easily think of a substitute system. In fact, I devised one or two called LORNS which are location relative numeral substitute systems, where instead of having numerals written out we would have matrices with dots in strategic places, which would stand for numbers, and those would be visual aids. As far as theoretical math is concerned, I have to admit, I don't know the answer, I think that is going to be a longer process, but I think that there will be a process of replacing written numerals.

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Question 5
Don't you think that the decline of written language would bring us to a loss of historical memory?

Answer
I actually think that it will help our historical memory. Most of the cultures in our world today are still oral cultures - we don't have to look at ancient history to see oral cultures. Historical memory, involves passing information to the next generation - or to the next town or village or to the next continent - in one of two ways: either you speak to someone and they store it in their memory; or you create picture objects which represent an event, a cave wall painting, and so on. After the agricultural revolution we needed another form that could hold more memory, because the human memory is notoriously weak in terms of holding a lot of information in it and picture objects got washed away by the elements. Print seemed to be better, but now we are finding that print has its limits: when 80% of the world's population cannot use it, there is a problem. When you look at the huge resources it takes to train a fluent reader and writer, there is a problem. So, we are creating talking computers, VIVOs, which will be able to store and retrieve huge amounts of information which we will store by speaking and by listening. Very little will get lost, and in fact historical memory will be enhanced by the fact that everyone will be able to use their native language to access the information in talking computers. We won't have to learn another language, because no matter what language information is stored in, it can be retrieved in your own language because talking computers raise the actuality of instantaneous translation of languages. Within ten years there will be no need to study foreign languages; it will be a hobby, but you'll have your little talking computer, and I'll have my little talking computer, and you'll talk to me in Swahili, and I'll talk to you in Spanish, and you'll hear it in your language, and I'll hear it in my language. Schools will no longer teach foreign languages, nobody will be compelled to learn a foreign language to retrieve that whole body of historical memory and to communicate with anyone on the face of the earth, or in space.

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Question 6
How will this change to an oral culture affect other areas, like the arts and politics?

Answer
The introduction of talking computers will be the last nail in the coffin of written language. This is going to affect every human activity, especially throughout the 21st century. Human society is going to be grappling with the changes and adjustments brought about by the end of written language. Even oral cultures will change because they are influenced so much by the print-literate nations. For example, imagine music without music notations, imagine literature, poetry, plays and so on without written language. In an oral culture, we are moving into a reorientation of the arts. Instead of written music, we are going to have what is the case of most of the world's music, which is improvised music, and we are going to have a different mode of teaching music, the apprenticeship mode. In literature, we are moving away from novels, from written poetry, plays, screenplays, towards storytelling, spoken poetry. It's happening already; poetry readings are gaining huge audiences here in the United States, rap, African-American spoken poetry, has swept not only through the black communities but has a great following in all communities of youth here in this country and around the world. So, we are already in the age of spoken poetry. I am a published poet, I am a college professor who started several college literary magazines; I loved the written word, but, let's face it, we are in this situation in which we either go with the motion of history, or we try to fight it, and we are not going to be able to fight this one. Written language is a lost cause. Politics, especially international politics, the relation between the dominant and the oppressed nations, is going to be greatly altered by the fact that one of the main cultural tools of cultural and colonial domination, which is insisting that the standard written language of the colonial power is the only language in which education happens in the colonised countries or societies, is going to disappear. Written language as a tool of colonial domination will disappear, and therefore it will be one slight weakening of the hold that the oppressor nations have over the oppressed nations. We are looking at a situation where every people's and every society's own language will have the opportunity to flourish, and it won't matter whether it ever got translated into a script, people's own languages will be honoured and they will be able to use their native language to access all information on talking computers. This might seem like a minor point, but remember that in the periods of slavery in the United States Africans brought to these shores were forbidden from speaking their African languages, were made to speak in English so that the slave owners could hear what they were saying, out of the fear that the slaves were conspiring to rebel and revolt. There was also a law that said it was illegal to teach Africans reading and writing. Literacy, ever since its formation, has always been the tool of the strong, of the haves, to dominate the have nots, and it is still that way today. So the disappearance of written languages will allow us to level of this playing field.

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Question 7
But don't you think that the opposition of the haves vs the have nots will be reproposed by this computer-based recreation of an oral culture? It can be claimed, in fact, that not everybody will be able to afford the expense itself of the hardware, when they are incapable of, say, feeding themselves.

Answer
The power relations with talking computers will remain exactly the same as it is with text-driven computers of any technology. The problem of getting access to the computers by people in the developing nations will still be a struggle; the same powers that own and control the hardware and software in distribution, and the sharing or the not sharing of that hardware and software, are still going to control talking computers. I see this as a key human rights issue of the 21st century, and of this century as well. Literacy should be a right and not a privilege, but it has been a privilege not a right granted by those in power. But access to a real storehouse of information is a human right. If you deny that, you deny the right to self-determination. And to deny people literacy, or in the age of talking computers to deny them access to talking computers, is denying them their human rights, and there will be a human rights struggle. But let me just say that I think that the ruling classes of countries like the United States and Japan are divided on this issue. Part of the ruling class says: of course we are not just going to distribute talking computers or any kinds of our computers to the poor peoples of the world. Let them buy it, that's why we are in business. But another sector of the ruling class says, no , let's get the hardware and software to them, because that's how you are going to be opening up the markets in developing countries around the world. People are going to be able to get on the Internet, and they are going to be able to buy a product, and we want every person in Africa, Asia, and Latin America to have a VIVO computer on their table so that they can buy everything that we are selling, by ordering it over the Internet. Just as, for example, the phone companies are giving away free cellular phones as long as you pay for their service on a monthly basis. That's how they make their money, they want you to pay for the service for ten years. So, there is a sector of the ruling class who wants to give away talking computers for the same reason, to open up markets and to make a profit.

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Question 8
Don't you think that computers and the Internet have, as a matter of fact, impoverished not only literacy but also and in particular communication among people? How do you see this process, and how would your VIVO suggested system affect this?

Answer
First, I think that literacy has always been impoverished. If you look at the fact that literacy has been devised and in place in some places for some six to ten thousand years, and you look at the fact that ten thousands years later, four and a half billion people around the world, and a hundred and twenty million people at least in the United States, are functionally non-literate, this is an impoverished technology. That is one of the reasons, its lack of universality and the huge amount of resources it takes to school fluent readers and writers that most countries cannot afford. People who are writing e-mail messages are at least writing something. A lot of people who are writing e-mail messages, with all its misspellings and bad grammar, ten years ago they didn't write anything, they would make a telephone call, because we are more comfortable with speech, and with speech driven devices. In ten years, nobody is going to be sending e-mail messages, we are going to be doing that by speaking, listening and by looking at visual graphic displays on our VIVO computers, so this is a very short term blip that's happening right now. Your great- or great-great-grandchildren are not going to know how to read or write, and it won't matter. The schools will have no compelling reason to teach reading and writing, nobody will know how to read or write, and we won't need to, it will be an old technology. Does it matter that we don't know how to read a sundial? No, not at all, we have watches. A lot of young people don't know how to read a round faced watch. That dial with numbers doesn't make any sense to them because they have been brought up on digital watches, where the time is laid out as four-digits. That's what time means to them. Does it matter? No, I don't think so, because those are antiques now, and they are on their way out. We are moving into a new world, and if you love reading and writing, or your great-great-grandchildren love it, and they want to continue to read and write, it will be their hobby. A hobby is some activity that is not essential to society, to communication, storing and retrieving information. I said the schools will not be teaching literacy. Students who are interested in reading and writing will be able to join the literacy club, where they have fun learning the old reading and writing styles. But they won't have to and it won't matter, because we will have moved far beyond that into the realities of the new world culture.

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Question 9
Why do you think the computer industry will invest money to research and develop VIVOs when they have been investing loads of money building text-driven computers? May that be a major hindrance to the development of VIVOs?

Answer
The university computer think tanks, the corporations that are doing research development on computers are putting a huge amount of their resources into the development of talking computers, voice recognition, voice synthesis, voice understanding. They are developing faces, with lips that move in synch to the words that the computer says, so that the user will have a friendly face to speak with. They are developing computers with a seeing eye, that will pick up the user's face, and focus and interpret our facial expressions and maybe even our bodily language, so that it can better understand what we are saying, whether we making a joke or whether is figurative or is it literal. A huge amount of resources, and that amount is going to increase exponentially as hardware and software companies really understand that with the talking computer their market will be every person on the face of the earth who can speak and hear. A lot is being developed to help people with disabilities, people who can't write or read but who can speak and listen. But they are even developing computers now that are talking computers but that will recognise sign language, then you will be able to sign to the computer and it will sign back to you. Computer companies feel that there's a huge market out there, of people, first of all, the 80% of the world's people who would be able to use a talking computer and are not able to use a keyboard-driven, text-driven computer. But all of us in the electronically developed countries, in the print-literate countries, prefer to pick up the telephone rather than write a letter, because speech is easier for us. Wouldn't we like to have a computer that we can just talk to instead of worrying about typing in written language, and worrying about grammar rules, and worrying about if someone on the other end is going to be able to read it? One of the things I teach besides philosophy is reading and writing. I decided to teach that because I really wanted to understand why students in the US are resistant to learn reading and writing. I started to understand some important things about it. In ten years, I will give the students a written assignment, and say: go and write three pages on the death penalty, pro or con. They go home, but on their desk at home is a VIVO talking computer/ They speak their "essay" into the computer, it doesn't have to be spoken grammatically correctly, the computer will have grammar check, it will straighten out those lines of speech and the student will proof read the "essay", by listening to the computer speak it back, make any changes that they want, and produce a diskette to give me, or put it on-line for me. Now, but wait, I had said I wanted a written copy, so the student punches a button, and the computer automatically prints out a printed copy, and then the student gives it out to me. The student has written a perfectly written essay, it has been through grammar check and spell check, but I don't know if that student can write one English sentence, and neither does that student. So the question is, when everybody on earth can, by using a VIVO computer, write a perfectly written essay, what does it mean? Some people think that we are going to have a Renaissance of print, because now everybody will be able to write perfect essays. No, what it means is that written language is a redundant and obsolete technology. If the student can access, retrieve and store information by speaking, typing it out is unnecessary. As a teacher I can just speak with the student, on the basis of speaking and listening, and that becomes our new medium, our memory becomes the talking computer.

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