Digital library (interview) RAI Educational

Scott McNealy

Roma, 17-10-1996

"Future applications of Java"

SUMMARY:

  • Sun has always been committed to the concept that network computing is the way to bring people together, to share information and to communicate (1).
  • McNealy does not believe that the computer model of the PC can become a network computer. You must start with a Java chip and a Java-based browser environment and connect that to the network. That’s a whole new architecture that leaves behind the legacy architecture but brings forward the PC user (2).
  • Hardware is becoming more important than software (3).
  • There were a lot of problems with exiting programming languages which were not object-oriented, did not have good memory management or security features and were not network-centric. Sun created a small, simple scaleable operating environment and language environment in Java, and then tied it into the Internet (4).
  • Ease-of-use and compatibility on the PC are myths. The NC, or network computer, will solve many of these problems (5).
  • McNealy is reluctant to predict the future of the NC (6).
  • Java will be embedded in many of the organiser cell phone nomadic devices that will come onto the market over the next few years (7).
  • The telecommunications marketplace is Sun’s largest single marketplace. They are working closely with telecoms all over the world (8).
  • There are almost no new software start-ups that are not targeted at Java-based software (9).
  • There are many ways to make money from Java: Java chips, operating systems, compilers, development tools, operating systems, browsers, computers, servers, network management, consulting and training and education and service and support (10).
  • Sun has announced the micro-Java and pico-Java environments. There are dedicated microprocessors that are targeted at making Java applets go very fast (11).
  • If you create using the Java media APIs, you have a multimedia applet and content stream that can be viewed, dealt with, manipulated and handled on any computer that runs those Java APIs. You can create the multimedia content and be guaranteed that it will work everywhere (12).
  • McNealy does not think that the browser necessarily matters. What matters is what content format you use to format your e-mail, to publish your information and to write your applications (13).
  • Netscape and Microsoft are pouring a lot of money into technologies that do not necessarily add a lot of value to the user (14).
  • Companies are finding that an Intranet is the most effective way of communicating. SUN has focused on these corporate networks or the Intranet and become the leader in technology for the Intranet (15) (16).
  • McNealy is not worried about the traffic on the Internet. The beauty of the Internet is that every time they put up another road it gets filled up immediately, which is a wonderful economic indicator of demand for Sun’s products (17).
  • McNealy is not worried about the traffic on the Internet. The beauty of the Internet is that every time they put up another road it gets filled up immediately, which is a wonderful economic indicator of demand for Sun’s products (18).
  • You may need to charge some money for Internet access and pricing models have to be re-evaluated. Bandwidth will come to the home. ISDN, ASDL, the cable modem, cellular and satellite connections and fibre, are all moving forward very aggressively. The amount of gigabit miles being installed in Europe is amazing and as deregulation moves forward and the competition starts to get established, lots of money and lots of new energy will be put into expanding the network (19).
  • Technology always moves slower in the short term than you can believe and far faster in the long term than you ever thought possible (20).
  • McNealy likes the weather and countryside around Silicon Valley (21).

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INTERVIEW:

Question 1
You have been a visionary because your company was the first to have the slogan, "The network is the computer". When did you start to think in these terms?

Answer
I wish we were visionary. I don’t think that’s the right word. For many years we were considered very stubborn. In fact, even today we’re considered stubborn because we don’t do PCs, we don’t do mainframes, we don’t do applications and that sort of thing. We’ve always been very committed to the whole concept that network computing is the way to bring people together, to share information with and to communicate, and the way for the world to build upon the cumulative knowledge of the rest of the world by publishing information. Even this interview gets published on the Web and becomes part of the cumulative knowledge that’s available to anybody who is networked and on the Web. This is the power of the idea of networking that we have been committed to for almost 15 years now. It doesn’t seem new to us but it seems like a new deal to a lot of people. It doesn’t seem visionary to us either, it just seems obvious.

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Question 2
Do you think that the 1980s were the decade of the personal computer, while the 1990s are the networking decade ? What kind of change is there now in personal computers? Must the model, the architecture, of the PC be reinvented?

Answer
I don’t think you take the computer model of the PC with a huge 32 MB, 32 bit multitasking, multithreaded operating system with all the bells and whistles and ten million lines of code of Microsoft Office running on a five-million transistor microprocessor with its own file system, disk drive, CD, floppy - this big, huge personal mainframe - you don’t re-architect that to become a network computer. You start all over. You start with a Java chip, you add the Java-virtual machine, and a Java-based browser environment and you connect that to the network. That’s a whole new architecture that leaves behind the legacy architecture but brings forward the PC user. The way we bring them forward is by putting the Java-based browser on the old legacy PC so that you can operate in this new Java network computing model without having to throw away your old PC and as you want to evolve and upgrade you move to the new Java client as opposed to doing the old PC. I don’t see Microsoft and Intel re-architecting their current business to work with the PC or the NC, the network computer. I see that as continuing on in the same way we still sell mainframes out there in the marketplace.

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Question 3
So we are going towards a kind of a "virtualization" of the use of computing and a use of resources where the hardware is less important than software?

Answer
I think the hardware is becoming more important than the software. It is becoming more available and more aggressively priced and more ubiquitously available. Hardware is going to be absolutely key. Software is useless without the client environment, and software is useless without the storage capabilities and the distribution capabilities of the server environment, so in fact hardware companies are becoming very, very important. There’s really three major components: you have the content providers of the software applications and the actual content, you have the service providers like the telcos and the cable companies in the RMIS department, who are providing the data dial and Web tone environments, and then you have the equipment providers like SUN who are providing the desktop and server and networked equipment to allow you to provide data and tone to the consumers and the users. We’re very focused on the equipment side of the house and the telcos are very focused on the service side of the house and the software and content providers like Disney and Microsoft are very focused on the content provider side of the house.

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Question 4
But you said that when Java was born, James Gosling was working on a set-top box so what is the origin of this new language? How did SUN arrive at the concept of Java?

Answer
We have a lot of software programmers who really understand systems level issues and there were a lot of problems with the current programming languages; they weren’t object-oriented, they didn’t have good memory management so you had problems with debugging the software. They didn’t have security features built into them and you have the problem today with every PC being a container for the next virus to come along. They weren’t network-centric in their model, they were very large, very bloated kinds of operating environments. We went out and created a very small, simple scaleable operating environment and language environment in Java, and then we tied it into the Internet. That was the greatest distribution mechanism. It was a rocket ship that we tied ourselves to and have ridden the energy and the enthusiasm of the Internet and Intranet marketplace. Originally, we thought this language was going to be used to build a system for a set-top box for interactive TV, you know, video on demand, five thousand channels or whatever on every desktop, for every TV. That market did not take off like the Internet, so we just re-targeted the technology to the Internet and got everybody to license to technology and made the interfaces open, and hence you see the wildest and craziest success story I’ve ever seen with the Java technology out there on the marketplace.

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Question 5
And now Netscape, IBM, Compaq are all using Java under license. What kind of barrier does this represent against Microsoft?

Answer
SUN is not in the business of putting up barriers to Microsoft. Our real goal is to really provide value to the customer. And I think the customer is frustrated with very difficult to use client environments, very difficult to deal with NT or Windows 95 as an operating system; ease-of-use and compatibility on the PC is a myth. It’s very complicated, very difficult. Anybody out there who has ever tried to assemble a PC, hook up a printer, create a document and print it out at their home will understand how difficult this environment really is. What we’ve been trying to do is solve the user administration, the software distribution issues, the security aspects and the total cost of ownership of getting access to the network and hence Java, the Java station or the Java computer in terms of concepts. The NC are a way to go at all of these really difficult issues that the PC has not and will not be able to solve as we move forward, so it’s a new style of computing, a new effort. It has nothing to do with Microsoft other than trying to solve some of the user problems that the current environment has created.

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Question 6
But looking at the next five years, what do you expect from NC computers?

Answer
I hate to predict. We’ll probably do the same thing that Microsoft always does and say that we have absolutely, wildly exceeded our most aggressive expectations on all products at all times forever. Just make sure that everybody writes up that it exceeds our expectations. For us to predict and then not exceed, that would be very bad, so let’s just say we exceeded our expectations.

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Question 7
What do you think about the cellular telephone with multimedia possibilities of communication and connection. Would this be a market in the future?

Answer
I believe Java will be embedded in many of the organiser cell phone nomadic devices that you see coming onto the market over the next few years. It makes sense; it’s already been embedded in telephone handsets - Nortel has a screen-based Java phone - and moving that to the cellular environment is the next step. We’ve actually seen a combination clamshell organiser and cellphone all in one - in one device - that will be on the market very soon. So these are the target markets for Java.

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Question 8
And does SUN already have agreements, licenses with Telecom or in Europe or elsewhere?

Answer
The telecommunications marketplace is our largest single marketplace. UNIX is the language of choice in the telecommunications arena, so we have a very good stronghold and we’re working very closely with a whole bunch of the telco service providers around the world starting with the AT&Ts and MCIs, including the Baby Bells and all of the regional and international service providers. We work with all of them from NTT to Telecom Italia to Erikson and all of the people involved in that business. The network is the computer; we need the network and the telcos provide the network component of it so we have a very complementary and synergistic business relationship with just about all of the major telco suppliers.

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Question 9
Last August venture capital put US$100 million on Java research. What kind of application will come from this investment and how many companies, how many people in software are working on Java?

Answer
I don’t know many software developers who are not writing in Java now. Maybe I have a narrow view or I don’t see the average software developer, but today software developers if they want to be writing interesting next generation applications are writing them in Java. There are almost no new software start-ups that are not targeted at Java-based software. In fact, I know very few new start-ups that are saying: No, we’re going to write in C or C++ or Visual Basic. They’re all saying: we want money, we want to go and start a company and we’re writing our software application in Java. That’s the way to get venture capital money because the venture community certainly has understood that the future is in Java-based software as we move forward. What applications ? You name it, they’ll be building it. Every market and every opportunity is ripe for a Java-based application. I think it’ll be an interesting challenge for the installed legacy software developers today to react and compete with the whole new wave of Java-based developments that’ll be hitting the market.

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Question 10
But where and how exactly will you make money with Java?

Answer
Different people make money in many different ways. It’s like asking" How do you make money in English? There are so many ways to make money in English and Java is a language. You can build Java chips, you can build Java operating systems, Java compilers, Java development tools, Java operating systems, Java browsers, Java computers, Java servers, Java network management, Java consulting and training and education and service and support. You can fundamentally - and SUN is doing that - make money in all kinds of products, not just Java applications; there’s many, many different ways to make money with Java.

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Question 11
And because SUN is also a chip maker, is a Java chip coming?

Answer
Absolutely. We’ve announced the micro-Java and pico-Java environments. There are dedicated microprocessors that are targeted at making Java applets go very, very fast. They don’t run regular operating systems, they run the Java virtual machine and therefore make Java applets go very fast for a very low cost and very low power. We believe these are going to be very attractive devices for use inside of telephones and game machines, set-top boxes, nomadic devices and embedded environments.

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Question 12
And because one of the expectations from Internet is multimedia on-line, multimedia also with video, what kinds of contributions can Java give to multimedia on-line?

Answer
What Java can do is fundamentally make media content that’s developed on the net and executable on every and any machine. If you create something today in Apple format, it only runs on Apple, or in Windows format, it only runs on Windows machines. If you create, using the Java media APIs, you have an applet, a multimedia applet and content stream that can be viewed and dealt with and manipulated and managed and handled on any computer that runs those Java APIs, which includes everything, the Windows environment, the Macintosh environment, the Novell, the UNIX, the NC, the IBM environment, Navigator, you name it. And the beauty of this is that you can create the multimedia content and be guaranteed that it will work everywhere.

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Question 13
And what is your opinion about the browser war? A lot of attention was dedicated this summer to the browser war between Microsoft and Netscape. Is this a false problem or is it something important for the net?

Answer
It was obviously a slow summer for the news, as far as I could tell, and I don’t necessarily think that the browser matters. I think what matters is what content format you use to format your e-mail, I suggest ASCII. To publish your information, I suggest HTML and to write your applications, I suggest Java. The world is busy putting their information in proprietary content like Word or Excel or into proprietary content like Visual Basic, where it can only run on a Windows environment. We suggest ASCII, HTML and Java so that you can make your content available to any and everybody in every computer out there. I think that’s the more interesting issue, not which browser has which feature. These huge, full-featured browsers are necessarily productivity tools, they’re again getting into the activity generation world.

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Question 14
Larry Elision yesterday said that the browser has no future. Do you agree?

Answer
I’m not a visionary. I can’t predict the future and I don’t pretend to. I think Netscape and Microsoft are pouring a lot of money into technologies that don’t necessarily add a lot of value to the user, that is the sustainable environment in the long term, but that doesn’t mean that they will continue to do what they’re doing in the future. So who is to say what will happen?

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Question 15
Another new phenomenon for general people is the discovery of how much the Web is used inside the business environment. Can you explain the concept of Intranet and the future of Intranet? What kind of business is it for you?

Answer
Companies are finding that an Intranet is actually a much more effective way of communicating; rather than typing up a word document, printing it out, putting it in inner company mail, you just type up a quick little ASCII e-mail and you send it to your friend, instead of doing voice mail, which you can’t print out, you can’t edit, you send it in ASCII e-mail and people can deal with that. People are finding that if you want to publish a document inside your company, you don’t get Word, create this fancy document and then print out a whole bunch of copies and then send it around to everybody because it’s out of date before it even hits their desk. Now they’re publishing using HTML and Web-based technologies and surfing that with browsers. People are finding that they can use their Intranet distributed software also. You don’t send floppies to every desk. You just put a copy of the application on a central corporate server and download that application to users who need it. This is using the power of the network and the power of the Web-based technologies to create a much more efficient environment. The name that everybody has given it is the Intranet, and SUN has really focused on these corporate networks or the Intranet and become the leader in technology for the Intranet.

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Question 16
Do you think Bill Gates will be a strong competitor next year on the Intranet market?

Answer
Potentially. But the market is very different than selling PCs to the consumer market or selling PCs to run spreadsheets and word processors. It’s a market of providing value and productivity and improvements to the corporation as opposed to providing activities for the user.

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Question 17
What’s the value of this Intranet market for the server and for the software?

Answer
Unlimited. I couldn’t put a number on it. You’d have to go ask the research firms, who never know anyhow, but they get paid money to go do that. I don’t do that. They never know. It’s all a big guess.

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Question 18
Two final questions. What do you worry about for the future of Internet? The traffic, the bandwidth? What kind of problem will there be in the future of Internet with so many people coming on the Net?

Answer
I don’t have any worries. The beauty of the Internet is that every time they put up another road it gets filled up immediately, which is a wonderful leading economic indicator of demand for Sun’s products. I would get very nervous if I was in the road-building business, if when I built a road, nobody drove on it, because people are going to stop building roads. What happens with the Internet is that every time we put up a new highway or a new street or a new road, it gets immediately filled. That says we have insatiable demand for our networking products. That’s good news, that’s wonderful. I couldn’t be more excited about it. It’s very, very good for a company providing the equipment for the information superhighway.

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Question 19
Maybe it’s faster inside companies, but for a single user at home there is a long waiting time, so what can be done to make Internet faster? Do we need cable or fibre optics?

Answer
First of all, we probably need activities that are worth doing. Second, you probably need to charge some money for Internet access and the pricing models have to be re-evaluated. And thirdly, I would not bet against bandwidth. Bandwidth will come to your home. ISDN, ASDL, the cable modem, the cellular and satellite connections into the home, fibre, all the rest of it are all moving forward very aggressively. The amount of gigabit miles being installed in Europe is amazing and as deregulation moves forward and the competition starts to get established, you’ll see lots of money and lots of new energy put into growing the network, where it goes, how far it goes and how fast it goes.

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Question 20
So do you think that in the next three years there will be a real strong multimedia flow on Internet also for entertainment?

Answer
Yes, but never as aggressive as people want it to be but always far more aggressive over a longer period of time than they thought. It always moves slower in the short term than you can believe and far faster in the long term than you ever thought possible. That’s just the way technology works.

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Question 21
A final question. Your company is based in Silicon Valley. Why is Silicon Valley so special and why is it pushing the technology all over the world?

Answer
I think it’s the weather. It’s really nice, it’s wonderful, it’s a beautiful place to live, and people who have a choice like to choose to live in the Bay area. There’s Stanford University, there’s the San Jose Sharks hockey team, we have everything now.

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